U.S. Housing Market Predictions for 2025-2026 by NAR Chief Economist

Published on
January 16, 2025

In a recent analysis, Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), forecasts a significant rebound in the U.S. housing market over the next two years. He projects a 9% increase in home sales for 2025, followed by a 13% rise in 2026, attributing this optimism to stabilizing mortgage rates expected to hover around 6%.  

Yun suggests that the challenges of high borrowing costs and low inventory may be easing, with homeowners potentially seeing a 2% increase in home prices in both 2025 and 2026. He emphasizes the wealth accumulation benefits of homeownership, noting a stark contrast between the median net worth of homeowners at approximately $415,000 compared to renters at $10,000.  

These projections indicate a cautiously optimistic outlook for the housing market, with anticipated job growth and increased household equity contributing to a potential rebound in the coming years.  

Source: “Housing Market Predictions for 2025 and 2026 by NAR Chief” by Marco Santarelli, published January 4, 2025.

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